選擇權教學1. 什麼是選擇權?
選擇權類似期貨形式的金融衍生商品,它與期貨交易一樣也是買賣未來的交易。但與期貨單純買進、賣出,做多、做空兩個方向不同, 台指選擇權有四個象限,有看漲BUY CALL、看不漲SELL CALL、看跌BUY PUT、看不跌SELL PUT四個部位。
選擇權部位 | 選擇權英文 | 看法 |
買進買權 | BUY CALL | 看漲 |
賣出買權 | SELL CALL | 看不漲 |
買進賣權 | BUY PUT | 看跌 |
賣出賣權 | SELL PUT | 看不跌 |
台指選擇權除了方向以外,多了「時間價值」這東西,「時間價值」是選擇權賣方的朋友,反之是選擇權買方的敵人,隨著時間一分一秒過去「時間價值」會慢慢消耗,當選擇權買方的人會虧損「時間價值」,當選擇權賣方的人則是賺取「時間價值」。
對於選擇權新手來說,這篇文章可以讓你快速入門選擇權,從選擇權基本知識、選擇權買方、 選擇權賣方、 選擇權履約價,到選擇權權利金,以及看懂選擇權T字報價,乃至選擇權未平倉量都有涉略,並且提供完整的策略試算工具,讓你平步青雲,一次就學會台指選擇權!
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選擇權教學 2. 兩種常見的選擇權合約
目前市場上的選擇權有兩種模式:歐式選擇權、美式選擇權。歐式選擇權的買方被規定只可以在到期日要求履約。美式選擇權的買方可以在到期日前任意一日要求履約。
美股選擇權屬於美式選擇權,只要買方具備履約價值是可以當下決定履約的,所謂的履約價值就是穿價,你認為會漲到的價格被穿越,例如說買一檔股票的選擇權,這檔股票股價目前50元,買方支付一元權利金認為兩個月後股價會漲到60元,而股價不久之後就大漲漲到70元,此時還沒到約定的結算日,就漲過買方所認定會漲到的價格,買方可以提前執行履約動作,以60元買進這一檔股票。
這就是美式選擇權,買方可以提前執行履約。當買方提前執行履約的時候,就會有對應的賣方以60元賣出股票,對於當時股價70來說算是賤賣。這就是選擇權的基本遊戲,買方用少少的錢來買一個機會。如果在到期日之前價格沒有漲到買方所說的60元,則買方所支付的1元權利金全部歸零,歸賣方所有。賣方賺的錢就是買方虧的錢。一個虧一個賺這是一場零和遊戲。
而台指選擇權是一種歐式選擇權,要到結算這一天買方才有履約的權力,履約的條件是買方認為會漲到的價格被穿價,或是跌破的價格被穿價。台指選擇權並不像美股選擇權可以拿實體的股票來交割,而是一種買空賣空的概念,單純以選擇權權利金價差來計算損益。
例如指數在17500點的時候,你認為台股一個月後會漲到18000點 ,於是你用50點的權利金購買BUY CALL 18000,如果結算那一天指數在17800點,沒有漲過18000點 ,則18000的CALL 權利金就變成 0,沒有履約價值。但是如果結算那一天台股漲到18500點,則18000的CALL 權利金就變成500點,你的成本50點,則你獲利450點。以一點50元計算,你獲利50*450 = 22500元。
不管是歐式選擇權或是美式選擇權,除了結算這一天決定買方/賣方賺錢或虧錢以外,在結算前的任何一天選擇權買方都可以提早出場,選擇權賣方也可以提早出場,出場的時候就以當時的權利金變化來計算損益。例如買方買進的權利金價格是50點,中途出場的價格是 80點,則買方獲利30點權利金,賣方虧損30點權利金。
台指選擇權大約有八成以上的投資人操作買方都是做短線,有賺就跑。沒有跑的通常都是虧損,放著最後讓它歸零。 這裡並不是說買方放長線就會虧損,並不是,如果你看對方向而且價格穿價買方會賺很多倍,但是投資人通常獲利抱不住早早出場,虧損放著期待能反敗為勝,所以通常買方做長線都是虧損。
簡單來說,不管是歐式選擇權或是美式選擇權,都是買方勝算較低,賣方勝算較高。只差在美式選擇權買方可以選擇提早履約。歐式選擇權與美式選擇權的基本比較如下 :
歐式選擇權 ( European option ) | 美式選擇權 ( American option ) | |
履約限制 | 到期日 | 到期日(含)前任意一日 |
持有成本 | 低 | 高 |
買方勝率 | 低 | 低 |
賣方勝率 | 高 | 高 |
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選擇權教學 3. 從選擇權報價看懂選擇權權利金
選擇權買方只要支付權利金就可以交易,我們可以看選擇錢搖錢樹的選擇權的 T 字報價表 →點我
上圖裡紅色框框裡的數字,就是選擇權權利金的報價,左側綠色表格是買權,右側紅色表格是賣權,中間藍色框框的數字,則是履約價,履約價的間隔多少看週選或是月選而異,週選擇權的履約價以 50 點為一個區間,月選擇權的履約價以100點為一個間隔。
具體規格可以參考臺灣期交所的商品合約規格:台指選擇權合約規格
在台指期選擇權裡,每一點權利金價值台幣 50 元,以上圖第二項選擇權履約價以 17650 為例, 8 點權利金 = 400 元台幣。也就是說,如果你想買進並持有履約價為 17650 的買權,成本就是 8 點權利金,在你持有的過程中只要權利金上漲,從8點漲到10點你就賺2點權利金,當然要扣掉選擇手續費等交易成本才是最後獲利。
如果你放著到結算,則是看結算價格決定損益,如果結算價格是17800,則17650 CALL的買方具備履約資格,因為你說會漲過17650行情也真的漲過了,超過17650 有 150點,17800-17650 = 150點,則結算這一天BUY CALL 17650的獲利為 150 – 8 = 142 。權利金漲到150點,你的持有成本 8 點,你的最後獲利是 142點。 如果結算這一天台股指數沒有漲過17650 則權利金歸零。 你虧損8點。
所以說,做買方過程中如果曾經獲利沒有出場,最後很可能是一場空,這點要多加留意。
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選擇權教學 4. 什麼是買權,什麼是賣權?
4-1. 買權 CALL :就是可以在指定時間依履約價格向賣方買進商品的權利。
買進買權 BUY CALL | 賣出買權 SELL CALL |
認為行情會漲過某個價位 | 認為行情漲不過這個價位 |
買權CALL的定義 :
假如作選擇權買方,買進履約價為 17500 的 買權 ( CALL ) 之選擇權合約,結算日時行情為 18000 ,那就表示你可以低於市價 500 點的價值買到貨品,現賺差價 500 點,買方獲利。最後的獲利要扣掉初始的權利金成本,例如初始權利金成本50點,則最後獲利 500-50 = 450點。
若結算當天指數低於 17500 ,則表示此合約無履行的價值,則買方BUY CALL 權利金歸零,賣方SELL CALL 獲利。
所以對於買方來說,只有看漲的時候才會買進買權,而對於賣方來說,則是認為行情不會漲過某個價位才會賣出買權。例如SELL CALL 18000 的意思就是賣方認為結算之前不會漲過指數18000。
4-2. 賣權 PUT:就是可以在指定時間依履約價格賣出商品給賣方的權利。
買進賣權 | 賣出賣權 |
認為行情會跌破某個價位 | 認為行情跌不破某個價位 |
賣權PUT的定義 :
假如作買方,買進履約價為 17500 的 賣權 ( PUT )之選擇權合約,結算日時行情為 17000 ,則此時的PUT權利金為500點,如果你初始的權利金成本為50點,則你的獲利為450點,獲利9倍。這就是選擇權買方以小搏大的由來。花一點權利金賺一個倍數獲利的機會。
若結算當天指數高於 17500點 ,則17500PUT的權利金全部歸零,則買方BUY PUT虧損,賣方SELL PUT 獲利。
所以對於買方來說,只有看跌的時候才會買進賣權,而對於賣方來說,則是認為行情不會跌破某個價位才會賣出賣權。BUY PUT17000 代表認為行情會跌破17000,SELL PUT 17000 代表認為行情不會跌破 17000。
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選擇權教學 5. 什麼是選擇權買方 ( BUY )?
買方就是支付權利金買進並持有合約的一方,成本較低,無須保證金只需權利金便可以買進買的權利,或是買進賣的權利,就是大家常聽到的買進買權 ( BUY CALL )、買進賣權 ( BUY BUT )。
對於選擇權買方而言,只需要支付權利金,如果發現行情朝著對自己不利的方向前進,便可以選擇履約或不履約,既不用實際持有貨物,卻又可以在行情向著自己有利的方向奔馳時要求賣方履約收獲利潤,可謂是退可守,進可攻,聽起來是不是很棒呢?
支付定金並取得選擇履約與否之權力的一方稱之為買方,買方有權力選擇是否執行,因此交易的彈性大,風險有限,但若出現巨大的行情變動,就極有可能獲得超乎想象的利潤,但此種行情不常遇到,且合約本身建立在對賣方有利的價格,因此買方贏面較小,倘若結算時行情未超過履約價,則失去其履約價值,合約價值直接歸零──這也是大家常笑稱的「吃龜苓(歸零)膏」就是在說這件事。而買方本身不需準備保證金,只需支付權利金即可,是一種可以以小博大的交易方式。
就像剛剛說的,選擇權買方要看行情會漲到哪或跌到哪,看漲的就做BUY CALL,看跌的就做BUY PUT。除了看漲看跌以外還要加個選擇權履約價,就是你認為行情會漲到或是跌到的地方。例如BUY CALL 17800代表你認為行情會漲到17800以上,BUY CALL 18000代表你認為行情會漲到18000以上。BUY PUT17300 代表你認為行情會跌破17300、BUY PUT 17000代表你認為行情會跌破17000。如果你方向看對,可是行情沒有走這麼遠,沒有穿越你的履約價,那麼你的權利金會歸零。
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選擇權教學 6. 什麼是選擇權賣方( SELL )?
選擇權賣方就是收取權利金賣出合約的一方,賣方需要較高的成本,需存放選擇權保證金至交易經紀商,以賣出買的權利,或是賣出賣的權利給買方,就是大家常聽到的賣出買權 ( SELL CALL )、賣出賣權 ( SELL PUT)。
SELL PUT 是看不跌的意思,後面加個履約價是你認為不會跌破的位置,例如SELL PUT 17300 代表你認為行情不會跌破17300,SELL PUT 17000 代表你認為行情不會跌破17000。SELL CALL 是看不漲的意思,SELL CALL 17800 代表你認為行情不會漲過17800,SELL CALL 18000 代表你認為行情不會漲過 18000。賣方的勝算比較高,因為選擇權標的物的價格只要不要漲過你所設定的天花板價格或是地板價格你就獲利。
選擇權賣方收取了買方訂金後,只要買方欲執行權利,賣方就有義務必須履約。一般狀況下,只有在行情漲過或跌破選擇權履約價時,買方就有獲利空間,才會選擇執行其權利,反過來說,若是低於履約價,則因權利金歸零的關係買方不會履約,此時合約成立時買方所支付的權利金才算妥妥地入了賣方的口袋。故在沒有大漲大跌的特別行情之情況下,賣方贏面雖大,但收取的權利金不會隨行情增減,因此賣方享受高勝率的同時,獲利是固定的,也承擔了無限的風險。
另外作為賣方有義務履行契約,若買方選擇履約,則賣方必須以約定之價格履約。為避免如行情結算後價格不利於賣方,導致賣方不履約或是無力履約,故賣方必須先行提供一定程度的選擇權保證金,選擇權賣方就跟期貨一樣需要準備一筆保證金,所需起始資金較大。
選擇權買方 | 選擇權賣方 | |
權利金 | 支付權利金 | 收取權利金 |
權力 | 到期可以選擇是否履約 (但一般來說,若無履約價值的合約將直接歸零) | 有義務履約 |
勝率 | 贏面小 | 贏面大 |
風險 | 有限 | 無限 |
利潤 | 無限 | 有限 |
保證金 | 不需要 | 需要 |
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選擇權教學 7. 選擇權手續費
和其他任何商品的交易一樣,選擇權的交易需要到各大券商處開立期權帳戶,透過經紀商進行交易,就需要支付交易稅與手續費。 選擇權手續費多少合理,進一步可以看這篇文章。
以下是券商市占率排名,建議可以詢問市佔率高的券商,以取得較好的服務。選擇權手續費則是券商越小越有談價空間。
期貨經紀商 | 市佔率 |
元大期貨 | 27.42% |
凱基期貨 | 21.35% |
群益期貨 | 10.61% |
永豐期貨 | 5.63% |
統一期貨 | 3.92% |
富邦期貨 | 3.21% |
康和期貨 | 2.87% |
元富期貨 | 2.49% |
日盛期貨 | 2.43% |
華南期貨 | 2.02% |
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選擇權教學 8. 選擇權策略分析
這邊選擇權搖錢樹有提供非常好用的「免費工具」推薦給大家:
在這裡輸入你的部位,可以計算出風險與未來選擇權結算時的期待獲利或是損失,幫助你一眼看出自己的最大獲利跟風險區間。選擇權部位試算這是我在2007年用EXCEL寫出的程式,幫助我快速了解我手中複雜的選擇權部位是什麼意思,到底上漲我會賺錢還是下跌我會賺錢,利用EXCEL試算軟體快速了解選擇權策略單,現在將工具寫在網頁版上面,幫助你快速了解選擇權組合\單。你也可以看這部影片了解更多 => 影片 選擇權策略怎麼玩
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選擇權教學 9. 選擇權獨孤九劍
獨孤九劍乃金庸筆下絕頂高手,劍魔獨孤求敗所創之絕招,講述的是世間本無招,有強則有弱,以我之強對敵之弱,任憑敵手千招百式,我們都有應對之法,講究觀敵而動,見招拆招,後發先至。
在選擇權獨孤九劍裡,就有 四十多招選擇權策略絕密致勝法,幫助你計算各種策略的優劣,只要細細觀察行情,擬定選擇權策略,再使出克制行情走勢的對應招式,這 四十多招錦囊妙計,便幫助我們克敵致勝。其實不只這四十幾招的選擇權招式,更進一步的是要抓到選擇權的精隨,以無招勝有招。
我透過選擇權獨孤九劍軟體試算,算出我手上部位的損益變化,也透過此選擇權獨孤九劍軟體,可以事先想好各式各樣的選擇權策略、如何調整部位、拆解部位、我們可以任意排列組合出數不盡的選擇權招式,就如同金庸小說底下的人物獨孤求敗一樣,發明獨孤九劍的招式。
這個選擇權教學單元講的是最高階的選擇權組合單,你若對選擇權組合單有興趣可以一篇一篇文章詳細看,我利用選擇權試算軟體來試算選擇權策略,可以將複雜的選擇權部位輸入 瞬間了解。可以輸入十組二十組的選擇權部位,了解你的部位最後的損益區間為何。這是人腦所想不通的。但是電腦計算很簡單。所以我利用選擇權軟體幫我計算。
法人不會只持有單一部位,他可能同時持有選擇權BUY CALL,也持有選擇權BUY PUT,也持有選擇權SELL CALL,也持有選擇權SELL PUT。也不會只買一個選擇權履約價,可能進場不同選擇權履約價,不同口數。而這些多部位組合起來是偏多呢 ? 還是偏空呢 ? 還是看盤整區間策略,或是看突破策略,或是有它特殊的獲利區間和虧損區間。
這都可以透過選擇權試算軟體幫你算出來。這適合給進階的選擇權投資人學習用的。你可以透過選擇權獨孤九劍的示範教學,設計一個專屬於自己的選擇權組合單。組出一個獨一無二的選擇權策略。若你有任何想法歡迎跟我討論。這單元屬於選擇權進階策略教學。
例如下圖,這是一個甚麼樣的選擇權策略呢,有八個部位組成,損益區間是15200 到15600之間獲利結算價,落在15400獲利最大,有12050元,如果行情大漲大跌最大虧損為 7950元 。這個你看損益圖就知道這個選擇權策略的損益區間,但是閱讀單一部位很難想像,最後組起來會是什麼東西。
武功祕笈招招式式都已完整列出,就待有緣人參透其中的玄機並妥善運用,相信若能掌握個一招半式,在選擇權的世界中想呼風喚雨也不是什麼難事了。
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選擇權教學 10. 選擇權未平倉量
網址→點我 選擇權未平倉量
選擇權未平倉量是一個非常簡單清楚的圖表,可以讓你一眼看出目前賣方持有的選擇權未平倉分布,從分布中不難看出市場上公認不會漲過和不會跌破的地方。這是專門給有交易選擇權的投資者看的資訊,交易賣方者 可以透過選擇權未平倉量來決定自己想要SELL CALL 或SELL PUT 的位置,交易買方者,可以利用選擇權最大未平倉量來預測行情的上下區間。
圖 : 可以查詢每日的選擇權未平倉量
如果想要更進一步的教學,可以看影片 【選擇權入門】解讀選擇權最大未平倉量,看懂選擇權支撐壓力
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選擇權教學 11. 台指選擇權Put/Call比
網址→點我 台指選擇權Put/Call比
台指選擇權Put/Call比是多空很棒的判斷依據,這是選擇權莊家的籌碼,解讀市場上持有SELL PUT的口數比較多還是持有SELL CALL 的口數比較多,可以用它來判多空,可以用它來抓起漲點, 進一步的教學可以看這部影片台指選擇權Put/Call比教學。
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選擇權教學 12. 選擇權結算
台指選擇權有週選擇權及月選擇權,就是每週結算一次,或是每月結算一次。週選是每週 3 結算,月選是跟台指期一樣,每個月的第三週的週三結算。
因為台指選擇權是歐式選擇權的關係,往往在選擇權結算的當天,無論是週選還是月選,都會有一支看不見的手伸進市場裡推動價格的形成。
比如說外資留倉大量履約價在 18100 的 SC 也就是 賣出買權 SELL CALL,但在結算日當天,價格已經來到 18100 的邊緣,或是有超過 18100,若是就這麼結算的話,賣方豈不是要賠錢?
如果是你,為了避免虧損,你會怎麼做呢?
那就是想辦法把價格壓到 18100 以下,迫使買方買權失去履約價值,對吧?
反過來說也是一樣的,所以在選擇權結算時,就會湧入大量的力道想推動價格至他們想要的位置,這點我們可以透過觀察選擇權未平倉量多加留意哦! 這個時候選擇權未平倉量就是一個重要的資訊,讓我們知道選擇權莊家佈署的位置在哪裡,因為莊家可能壓低結算或是拉高結算。
另外,如果你想知道最後指數結算在那裡,那你可以去期交所看,在期交所可以查到過去所有的期貨結算價
圖 : 期交所的 期貨結算價格
看完整篇文章,是否讓你對選擇權有更進一步的了解呢 ? 如果你想進一步了解選擇權要如何交易,可以加入選擇權獲利密技懶人包線上課程,帶你快速進入選擇權世界,一次學會更多選擇權交易技巧 !
如果喜歡我們的選擇權教學也請持續支持及關注,我將繼續分享更多投資觀念,跟著我一起邁向長期獲利的目標吧!
👉了解更多 >> 選擇權獲利密技懶人包
在〈5分鐘選擇權教學,12 份選擇權新手大補帖,讓你知道選擇權是什麼,不再看見選擇權就糊塗!〉中有 76 則留言
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