1.期貨 選擇權盤前分享
台股選擇權走勢分享，大家早安，台股昨天上漲遇到二十日均反壓 ， 指數開高走低收黑K，本周三選擇權結算 結算前應該不容易過高。現在走勢都來的很快 ， 一天時間漲了四百點，等待回過神來想要進場，行情就拉回。走勢重新走回跌回盤整區間，會不會拉回以後再創新高，我也不敢肯定 ? 其實交易也不用肯定未來怎麼走。因為沒有肯定這件事情，唯一的肯定就是走勢不確定。 我們只能從價格波動中去嘗試，去試錯。透過一次次的試錯去抓到我們想要賺的錢。順勢交易是這樣，如果行情發生的時候沒有在車上，那麼績效將會大打折扣。順勢交易就是靠行情出去的時候拉開賺賠比，如果盤整區吃到苦頭，趨勢盤沒有跟到，那真是不容易賺錢。
所以順勢交易跟到行情 是很重要的事。要如何才會跟到呢 ? 每一次都嘗試，一定跟得到，但是缺點是每一次都嘗試，試錯成本是多少呢 ? 。 有條件的嘗試可以減少試錯成本，但是會不會漏掉正確的那一次 ? 這裡就是要投資人做功課，想一想的地方。 交易需要一套交易計畫，一個讓你期望值為正的交易計畫。
對台股我目前的操作計畫是 先假設行情最後會創新高出去，而且我手上一定要有多單部位。如果行情沒出去 也要讓手上已經獲利的多單有基本獲利。在這樣的交易計畫中我該怎麼做呢，有幾種做法，第一種作法是設定出場也會獲利的價格，讓行情自然回檔到出場的價格 少賺出場。第二種做法是當行情下跌時進場空單 鎖住多單獲利，這樣就不怕行情大幅回檔，伺機再平倉空單。 第三種做法是逢高部分出場多單落袋為安，這樣也不怕行情回檔都沒賺到。 目前我採用的方式是第二種 混搭第三種，部分停利出場，部分鎖單。停利的部分是BUY CALL，鎖單的部分是期貨。
台股還剩下兩天結算，估計是盤整結算，不殺低也不過高。台股比較不好的部分是過高又拉回盤整區，希望不要回測盤整區低點。走一步看一步吧。
2.期貨 選擇權籌碼分享
籌碼日期2021/10/18
選擇權PUT CALL Ratio 101.38%，選擇權莊家偏空調整
外資買賣超(億) 買超32.82億，連續買超
外資台指期口數(萬口)淨空單1萬9002口，增加1352口空單，外資偏空調整
選擇權外資選擇權籌碼
BC 2萬0911口 + BP 4萬1788口
SC 8571萬 + SP 8875萬
整體來說外資選擇權是盤整偏多
選擇權 自營選擇權籌碼
SC 4986口 + SP 6154口
BC 1億6752萬 + BP 5422萬
整體來說自營選擇權是偏多
選擇權最大未平倉量
選擇權莊家SC在17000有2萬3065口，SP在16400有1萬6830口
3.期貨 選擇權盤中看盤日記
***21:45
***08:50
夜盤又上漲了 上漲 78點 電話線紫色翻多
***09:19
上漲 + 回檔
回檔的時候要 …
1.看空
2.看多
目前指標多空電話線是多方，買賣力道 -3358 ，大戶籌碼 -263 籌碼是空方
***09:32
我個人是比較偏空看 不知道為啥 直覺吧
持有多單，看，先不加碼
***09:37
直覺錯誤 往上噴
16856 +131
***09:41
16850 +144 大盤紅K 要漲過昨天黑K了，算是好的走勢
***09:50
16882 +157 直接噴出去 好快
行情發動了 有在車上，加碼在比較高的位置 16845 (11月)
***10:26
16899 +194 台股大漲兩百點左右 走勢比想的強呢，跟上走勢
大盤日K 繼續上
***11:25
台指期上漲 211 點 ，台股要上漲了吧 。 w底打底完成
***12:09
大盤日k 16904 +199
這次拉回 在前低位置出現W底，應該是會往上才是
台股加油
4.期貨 選擇權交易檢討
今天一早拉回的時候 居然認為會跌，真的是先入為主。後面衝出去的時候加碼 跟上行情
在〈選擇權交易日記 20211019 剩兩天結算〉中有 28 則留言
感覺不錯 美股繼續漲 台股能壓得住嗎XD
很好啊 繼續漲過去
震盪偏多格局
16870不是高
是啊 如你所說 震盪偏多
交代6870不是高
持續震盪走高
大家都會有共鳴的歌！！！
https://youtu.be/uT3MXyj62M4?t=4730
我還是喜歡胡夏版本
不得不佩服林子祥！74歲了
張學友說有林子祥在旁請不要叫我歌神！
https://youtu.be/aWHiIPGp0Ww
74歲這樣算是很厲害 保養也好
希望他可以唱到 94 104
發現大陸節目蠻敬老尊賢 不知道是節目的意思 還是 風氣
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