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選擇權看盤日記 20220110 高檔長黑之後 ,行情修正怎應對?

內容目錄

1.期貨 選擇權盤前分享

大家早安,上周五台股大跌 ,大盤跌198點,台指期開高走低跌跌367點,很大一根長黑。然後呢 ? 開始崩盤走空了嗎 ? 也許很多人嚇出一身冷汗。我對台股的看法 我不會這麼快翻空,只是現在手上有空單。有空單和翻空不是等號。有空單只是認為台股短線走跌拉回所以放空。 目前台股有三個支撐關卡

選擇權20220110-1

第一關 18037

這一關卡是前面幾個高點的連線,突破高點以後是新的支撐,現在大盤指數最接近的是這個支撐。

第二關 17556

這二關卡是前一波起漲的低點,起漲點沒破 都是多方,大盤若跌破17556 表示已經從最高點下跌1063點了。下跌一千點。指數一萬八下跌一千點等於跌5.5%。

第三關 17167

第三關卡是比較明顯的轉折低點,指數若跌破17167 表示已經下跌1452點了,這代表行情崩盤了嗎 ? 去年五月兩周跌了兩千五百點,去年七月到八月 跌了一千八百點,最後行情還是漲上來創新高。所以,跌個五百、一千、兩千 我都覺得 還只是長線多頭的修正。兩千點除以一萬八 跌幅 11.11% 。 如果你手上資產跌了 11.11% 你會覺得世界末日嗎 ? 好像也還好。 11% 而已。 意思就是說 如果我們能保護我們的投資部位,做到大盤跌兩千點 (11.11%) 我們損失小於11% 那就不用怕大跌了。 要怎麼做呢 ?

1.去槓桿 ,我不會把所有資產放在期貨和選擇權這種高槓桿的商品。 會放在其他資產上,例如房地產、股票、ETF、現金。就算操作期貨選擇權也是要去槓桿。 2000點可是期貨兩倍保證金的輸贏,槓桿做太大 行情波動四五百點 點就GG了。 槓桿大會造成績效不穩定,帳戶劇烈波動。

2.做避險,行情下跌時要持有空單 且多單出場。就算不出場也要有空單避險。例如用選擇權幫期貨避險,用期貨、選擇權幫你的股票部位避險。如果你股票還不想出的話。

3.股票轉現金,走勢下跌股票可以先出,停泊在現金上面,等止跌再買回。

以上是如果行情修正我會操作的方式

2.期貨選擇權籌碼分享

籌碼日期2022/01/07
選擇權PUT CALL Ratio  94.04%,選擇權莊家偏空調整
外資買賣超(億)賣超132.33億,連續賣超
外資台指期口數(萬口)淨空單2萬6609口,增加3472口空單,外資偏空調整

外資選擇權籌碼 
BC 1萬5079口 + BP 3萬3824口
SC 2253萬 + BP 1億1720萬
整體來說外資選擇權是偏空

自營選擇權籌碼
SC 1萬4539口 + BP 23口
SC 3560萬 + SP 669萬
整體來說自營選擇權是盤整偏空

選擇權最大未平倉量
莊家SC在19000有1萬4359口,SP在17000有7817口

選擇權未平倉量 資料來源OPTREE.TW

選擇權未平倉20220110

3.期貨選擇權盤中日記

週五夜盤沒有續跌 18124 跌 21點

***09:17

開盤跳空開低走跌 還沒跌完

***09:24

18122 -21 開低走高

今天跌到二十日均線 止跌

***09:27

大盤日K 跌到20MA + 拉抬

***09:40

18713 +30點

***10:26

18205 +62點

今日二十日均有稱

***10:46

***10:59

18208 +65

今天開低走高 上漲 216

***11:44

18194 +51點 拉回主力成本線有撐

***13:53

台指期開低走高 最後上漲 240點 很猛

我要留言

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在〈選擇權看盤日記 20220110 高檔長黑之後 ,行情修正怎應對?〉中有 23 則留言

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