1.期貨 選擇權盤前分享
大家早安，昨天台股上下刷 ，先是回測前天夜盤低點 18091 不破，然後往上拉衝到前天夜盤高點18305，高低差也有兩百多點，我覺得行情要直接創新高不容易，不跌就很好了。目前看法是區間盤整，區間盤整就低買高賣，跌到低點買進，漲到高點賣出。最近波動大有價差賺，低買高賣有空間，不追價。
看區間支撐壓力的方法很多，可以看K線型態高低點，可以用三關價，可以用CDP ，或是用XX通道來看。不管用哪一個方法 邏輯都是相通的，定出比現在價格高的 關鍵價，定出比現在價格低的關鍵價。如果突破上方關鍵價就是趨勢，如果漲到上方關鍵價漲不動就是放空點。如果跌破下方關鍵價就是趨勢，如果無法跌破下方關鍵價那就是盤整，可以逆勢猜底。突破盤整區趨勢，盤整區無法突破做逆勢。精隨大概是這樣。如下圖。所以昨天我的作法是用關鍵價猜底，和停利。
目前看區間盤整，選擇權莊家則是偏多調整，選擇權PUT CALL RATIO 連續兩天偏多調整 加碼多單，目前PUT CALL RATIO 上升到 100% ，以歷史經驗來看可能是長線的翻多點。 過去有效，這次不知道 ? 就看看吧，提供訊息給你。
2.期貨選擇權籌碼分享
籌碼日期2022/01/11
選擇權PUT CALL Ratio 100.33%，選擇權莊家偏多調整
外資買賣超(億)買超22.29億，由賣轉買
外資台指期口數(萬口)淨空單2萬8317口，增加2886口空單，外資偏空調整
外資選擇權籌碼
BC 1萬020口 + BP 3萬7000口
SC 8170萬 + BP 7576萬
整體來說外資選擇權是偏空
自營選擇權籌碼
SC 1萬1600口 + BP 1萬2716口
SC 767萬 + BP 2647萬
整體來說自營選擇權是偏空
選擇權最大未平倉量
莊家SC在19000有1萬3851口，SP在18000有7940口
3.期貨選擇權盤中日記
18238 -42 夜盤繼續盤
***09:07
18382 +82
開高走低 ，昨天晚上大漲一百點，白天拉回。以昨高當參考點
***09:02
18358 +78點 開高走低
***09:06
18353 + 65點
大盤日K開高走低 ，漲到前黑高點 壓回
***10:01
18310 +30
台指期開高走低 拉回回測五日均。
昨高不過 往下跌 回測均線
***10:28
台指期開高走低 往下跌
***11:04
18296 +16
台指期開高走低 漲幅剩下16點
晚上上漲 白天下跌 區間整理。
***13:55
今天U型反轉 讚喔
***14:01
大盤日K
10375 +87點
談到二十日均後 連續上漲，看起來還不錯。
感覺很棒。 看看是會直接上去還是拉回第二隻腳
機率上 直線上去比較難依些
現在大盤站上五日均
前天是買點
在〈選擇權看盤日記 20220112 區間盤整 ，莊家做多〉中有 21 則留言
獨大早 大家早
來報到 我的多單還在 17738買進還沒出
我想這段話可以複製貼上一個月
現在18345 ，第一次抱多單獲利
感謝獨大一段話
去年一整年上漲時間多下跌時間少，下跌頂多兩周 上漲好幾周。做多賺錢機率大。
難怪過去我抱空單都賠錢，一直賠
恭喜貢丸大開竅了
順大勢操作勝算高
但過去的走勢不代表未來
還是要有一套判斷長線多空的方法
多方強力護盤，空方寸步不讓，明天多空再次決戰
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