1.期貨 選擇權盤前分享
大家早安，台股上周五走ㄇ字盤，選擇權BUY CALL 腰斬， 原本紅K走出去，忽然間自由落體跌下來變成墓碑線，這個墓碑會讓台股走空嗎 ? 我覺得是不會啦，當作一根小蠟燭踩過去就好，交易多空大方向要定，不要忽多乎空，10月15日看多以來，沒有改變過長多看法。台股漲到前高的位置 17605難免有些賣壓，會漲到前高壓力就掉下來走反轉盤嗎 ? 我先假設不會，對，是假設。任何分析判斷都是假設 不一定跟你想的一樣。 但還是要有基本假設才能交易。 所以我先假設前高不是壓力，行情會將空方輾過去。
1-1 航運股不濟 飛機股飛上天
航運股昨天止跌小漲1.83% ，長榮股價111.5，貴嗎 ? 便宜嗎 ? 跟233比起來很便宜，跟63比起來很貴。華航週五漲到25.55，貴嗎 ? 便宜嗎 ? 十幾天前華航股價 16 ，16漲到25 直接飛上天。依照航運股之前的漲法目標價一倍32是有機會的，飛機股外資連續13個交易日買超、投信也是連續十幾個交易日買超 ，籌碼面和技術面無可挑剔。剩下就是題材炒作而已。由虧轉盈是很好的炒作題材。在我來看 這些業績題材都只是話題，是投機炒作的理由。
圖 : 飛機股有航運股翻倍漲的氣勢
1-2 元宇宙漲跌不齊、宏達電翻三倍
另一個上漲的標的是宏達電
夾帶著元宇宙的話題，讓今年都還沒開始賺錢的宏達電股價一飛衝天，元宇宙題材的獲利都還沒真是反映股價先漲一波，所以你說讓股價上漲的原因是什麼 ? 主力炒作 股民買單就可以。這跟房地產一樣，漲翻天，你說上漲原因是什麼 ? 就是投資客炒作 + 自住客買單。其他 都是題材、是理由。股價也是一樣，業績成長題材、是理由，由虧轉盈是題材是理由、未來會有獲利 是夢想、不管未來是不是真的，現在炒上去賣給別人就可以。這就是股價上漲的真實原因。
圖 : 宏達電 33 漲到90 翻三倍 王姐姐笑呵呵
台股要走多頭，要有一些族群帶頭上漲，要匯集人氣。現在有看到這種跡象。 強勢股出現 股民回籠，成交量上升，市場繼續投機。
2. WINSMART台指期盤中5分K走勢
3. 三大法人選擇權籌碼分享
選擇權籌碼日期2021/11/12
選擇權PUT CALL Ratio 120.93%，選擇權莊家偏多調整
外資買賣超(億)買超79.24億，由賣轉買
外資台指期口數(萬口)淨空單1萬6971口，減少1019口空單，外資偏多調整
外資選擇權籌碼
BC 5093口 + BP 3萬3468口
SC 6624萬 + BP 4388萬
整體來說外資選擇權是偏空
自營選擇權籌碼
SC 1萬1679口 + BP 202口
SC 1837萬 + BP 657萬
整體來說自營選擇權是偏空
擇權最大未平倉量
莊家SC在17600有1萬8366口，SP在17300有1萬2518口
4. 選擇權課程教學 – 選擇權手續費多少合理 ?
4.1選擇權手續費多少合理，券商手續費成本大公開 ! 參與結算要手續費嗎 ? 各種手續費相關問題
5.期貨選擇權盤中交易日記
***20:26
台指期五分K，上周五白天ㄇ 字盤，晚上又漲上來。就是洗盤
**09:05
價格漲上來 17645 +102
開盤跳空往上漲
***09:09
17645 +99
今天籌碼是盤整喔
買賣力道 -2900 賣壓比較強
大戶籌碼 +385 大戶小買
***09:36
上漲 140 17683 繼續往上爬
就算買賣力道是空方 還是往上爬
電話線向上 紫色
***09:49
行情繼續上漲 153 點 17696
***09:53
直接跌回開盤價 一根K棒跌下來
超級 故意的
台指期五分K
你看一分K
上漲過程中 直接下來一根K棒跌回起漲點，只有一兩分鐘時間喔
***10:06
台指期瞬間下殺以後 會往上還是往下 ?
短線看不清楚方向的時候我都會看長線，看大盤日K
大盤日K目前還是實體紅K 沒啥跌，台指期分K瞬間跌回起漲點。
短線總是上上下下人為操作，長線方向比較有連續性
看一看長線，想一想短線。
我的多空不會因為短線價格跑來跑去而改變
WINSMART 右下角有個視窗是大盤日K ，意思是要看長線判斷大方向。
做交易不要只看到眼前的分K，分K常常亂跑 讓人迷失方向。
長線好像是迷霧中的燈塔，指引著我們方向
在〈選擇權交易日記 20211115 台指期會創新高?〉中有 27 則留言
獨大早 大家早
來到到
我放空十二月期貨 17492，逢高空
跟他拚了
夜盤有破17600應該要先損出
小胖大不了解貢丸的操作
貢丸做空是沒在停損
空12月就是直接抱到結算
那根直接把我加碼單掃掉 真的很故意…
快速加碼實在很容易被短線上下掃停損
S大短線出場點太小自然容易被這種瞬間下引線掃掉
這根是故意掃掛條件賣出的人
類股資金輪動，緩漲格局
著種盤好難做 我只有初始單跟著5日線沒有被掃 其他都被掃光
S大應對方式就是加碼單等下殺出量再買
往下設100點停損
天啊 停損100點對我來說太大 目前小台1口資金只有20萬 停損設定50點 著樣停損太小了嗎?
日振幅經常超過100點
如果要做留倉波段操作
設50點停損很容易被掃
50點停損只適合隔日沖或當日沖
利潤大概抓100～150點的小波段操作
現在都硬要下來掃完停損在上去 當沖因該很過癮 可以抓比較大的轉折
波動大不代表能抓到
至少我還沒見證過
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